James H. Fowler, Oleg Smirnov - Mandates, Parties, and Voters: How Elections Shape the Future
English | 2007-04-28 | ISBN: 1592135951, 1592135943 | PDF | 216 pages | 29.83 MB
Most research on two-party elections has considered the outcome as a single, dichotomous event: either one or the other party wins. In this groundbreaking book, James Fowler and Oleg Smirnov investigate not just who wins, but by how much, and they marshal compelling evidence that mandates-in the form of margin of victory-matter. Using theoretical models, computer simulation, carefully designed experiments, and empirical data, the authors show that after an election the policy positions of both parties move in the direction preferred by the winning party-and they move even more if the victory is large.